Well the forecast is on and so will the chase come tomorrow afternoon, conditions are looking quite favorable for severe weather over much of the northern plains. The latest outlook from the SPC indicates that the best area could be over anywhere in MN, with a very large tornado risk area to go along with significant threats of hail/wind. A ‘MODERATE’ risk was issued on this outlook and should continue throughout the remaining outlooks over the area, although I still believe that even just south of the current ‘MOD’ risk will eventually be included if the parameters come together as forecasted.
With tonights model runs of the NAM & GFS sticking to their previous forecasts of parameters, I very much like an area of southwest MN/northwest IA for tomorrow over the northern MN chase. Not sure what the issues may be and will of course have to watch thing evolve tomorrow, but both of the models are putting very favorable parameters over this area. Looking at a chase area from Granite Falls/Marshall, MN down to the Spencer, IA area for chasing tomorrow. Hopefully another post in the morning on final decisions, etc… For complete up to date and detailed discussions, please register and read the posts at StormCenterUSA Forums!
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