Well although models had a fairly good recognition of the system, they managed to mess this one up until last night. Models have quickly went further south with the system and much weaker with it as well. This has prompted most of the NWS offices to push their chances of snow way down and in some cases drop the mentioning of snow completely. Both of the NAM and GFS are only indicating small amounts of precipitation for most of the state and indeed the precipitation even shown in the models is potentially not going to occur as the trend continues to pull the system south.
So no map is given with this system due to the lack of precipitation currently forecasted, although I am not going to rule out a light snow shower still possible Friday/Saturday over the state as the system sweeps through.
Afternoon Update (4 PM): Despite the morning updates which tried to get rid of most of the snow, the models slowly came around a bit and the snow has been reintroduced to the forecast once again. Although amounts are still in question, the potential is still there like I mentioned this morning. Tonights’ model runs should give the final vote as to what will likely happen, I did check into the off hour runs and the GFS brought in another decent band north while the NAM continued to stay south like before. But, the GFS has been the favorable run due to the initiation of the model being better than the NAM. I will likely update early tomorrow to indicate the final thoughts on this system, currently the highest amounts I see possible will be 3 inches, maybe just maybe a 4 inch amount. Otherwise light snow probable over the state during Friday/Saturday…
Also wanted to point out the next system coming in for Monday, Monday night which could bring in the next small event of snow to the area…
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