There has been much discussion in the chase community about the upcoming trough and its' associated features and its' severe weather potential. This discussion has been ongoing since the trough was a gleam in the GFS way back at 300+ hours. This would appear to be the first trough in perhaps many that...
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
Monday, March 29, 2010
Warming Quickly!! Late-Week Potential...
As we enter the work week we can look forward to seeing bright sunny skies and knowing that temperatures will be above to well above average for this last week of March and beginning of April. A weak upper level ridge will be placed over the Plains states for much of the week, leading to clear skies...
Saturday, March 27, 2010
Severe Weather Threat - Mar. 27
An upper level low will become closed for a short period of time today, and in conjunction with a surface low will create the potential for thunderstorms and a few severe thunderstorms this afternoon/evening over the Central Plains. The area of interest for severe weather will be over extreme...
Tuesday, March 23, 2010
A Rainy Period...
Another storm system is impacting the Rockies already this evening, likely to bring snowfall amounts greater than a foot in many areas along the foothills in Colorado. A low pressure system will also be created that will quickly move out onto the Plains states and establish itself by tomorrow morning....
Sunday, March 21, 2010
March 20 Winter Storm Video
I finished a quick edit of my video I captured yesterday both in the early morning and during the late morning/early afternoon hours around the Kansas City area. You can find it available on YouTube and YouTube HD at the following url: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sUtv6DlGJns
Or it is...
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Recap
A long duration and dynamic winter storm struck portions of the Central and Southern Plains this past weekend, bringing with it nearly a foot of snow for parts of Kansas and Missouri. While snowfall did fall at a moderate to heavy intensity at times, the main culprit for the significant snowfall amounts...
Saturday, March 20, 2010
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Update #8
Moderate snow ongoing over the Kansas City metro with strong north-northwest winds of 15-25 mph with some higher gusts as well. This snow should continue for the next few hours before tapering to light snow for the remainder of the afternoon and evening. Areas just southeast of the metro areas may continue...
Live Winter Storm Video Continues
Currently located on the southern edge of Johnson county Kansas, just south of the Kansas City metro area with a view of I35 on the live camera. Expect a band of moderate to heavy snow to move into the area shortly and expect visibilities to fall to a half-mile or less at times... Check...
Live Winter Storm Video
Watching the next swath of snowfall making its' way northeast and will be entering the Kansas City area withing the next hour or so... Am preparing everything and will be running the live stream as I head southward out of the Kansas City area and down toward the Johnson/Miami county lines. ...
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Update #7
A nice lull in the snowfall this morning as the frontal precipitation has moved off to the east, and the first indications of a deformation/trowal band are taking shape across north-central Oklahoma into southeast Kansas and moving northeast. This will be the next round of snow that will likely...
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Update #6
Snow continues through the overnight hours and will likely continue for the Kansas City Metro before some subsiding occurs near 4-6am. Snowfall accumulations of 1-2" are common across the metro region, with some higher amounts just north in areas of Leavenworth county and near St. Joseph, MO. ...
Friday, March 19, 2010
Winter Storm: Streaming Live!
With a band of moderate to heavy snow likely entering southwest portions of Kansas City I am going to do a little test run and grab some video of the heavy snow and blowing snow around the Shawnee, KS area. I'll likely be live around 12:10AM, select the link below to view the stream:
http://...
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Update #5
Snow has quickly overspread the Kansas City metro tonight, with a short period of both light rain and sleet occurring this evening areas at least on the Kansas side have switched to moderate snow around 11pm. Snowfall is already beginning to accumulate on roadways, and strong northwest winds is...
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Update #4
Just a quick update with the 12z model runs... Amazing to think I'm sitting with the sliding door wide open letting the great outdoor air in at the moment, give another 12 hours and we'll be nearing 32 degrees and snow!!
The 12z NAM stays consistent with the frontal passage across Kansas and...
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Update #3
The off-hour model runs (06z) last night kept some consistency, although they both once again depicted some areas seeing over 18" of snowfall in eastern Oklahoma. No drastic changes nonetheless, and we have Winter Storm Watches now posted for large areas of northern Oklahoma, southern Kansas,...
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Update #2
Just a quick update to post two model images from tonight, both the NAM and GFS 00z snowfall forecasts courtesy of Earl Barker's Model Page. The snow algorithm used here is a max-temp in profile,...
Thursday, March 18, 2010
The Madness Continues... Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20
In the NCAA Tournament there is still plenty of good games with a Tennessee vs San Diego State game going down to the wire, and a Texas vs Wake Forest game going into overtime. This has been one of the best first days of the tournament that I can remember...
In other madness, there is very high...
March (Model) Madness
The NCAA tournament got underway with some great games in the first round, including a few upsets and a few other games that went down to the wire. I have a few brackets that are still looking pretty good through the afternoon/evening games. But, the true madness is that of the forecast models and their...
Weekend Snow Storm?!?
Models had continued their questionable outputs in regards to snowfall and transition of rain to snow over the Central Plains on Friday night and Saturday, but are once again coming into a trend towards a solution. This mornings' GFS and NAM both had a fairly similar solution in regards to snow amounts...
Tuesday, March 16, 2010
Where's the Sun?!?
We've been going the past several days with mornings' filled with low level clouds and high moisture values leading to sprinkles and mist. Today is no exception, and it looks to continue tomorrow morning as well. Yesterday during the late afternoon hours we were able to see the sunshine in Kansas...
Wednesday, March 10, 2010
Thunderstorms to Snow?!?
Numerous clusters of thunderstorms continue across portions of the Central and Southern Plains tonight, with a continued risk of a few severe/tornadic storms through the early overnight. The tornadic threat today across much of the risk area in Kansas, Oklahoma and Missouri was hindered by shallow moisture...
Severe Weather - Mar. 10
Models continue to indicate the potential for severe weather across portions of the Central and Southern Plains for this afternoon, evening, and overnight. A low pressure system currently ejecting onto the Plains will continue to trek east-northeast across Oklahoma and into the southeast corner...
Tuesday, March 9, 2010
Severe Thunderstorm Potential - Mar. 9
A quick morning update on the potential for severe weather today as the surface low currently located over south-central Kansas will move northeastward and create the potential for severe weather this afternoon for areas of eastern Kansas and western Missouri. The low pressure system has become...
Monday, March 8, 2010
Thunderstorm Potential - Mar. 9
There are a handful of storm chasers that made the trek down into western Oklahoma and Texas today for a marginal severe weather setup. Low-level wind shear is good in vicinity of the surface low, and while some cirrus has hindered full heating there does appear to at least be marginal instability...
Thursday, March 4, 2010
Ahhh... Sunshine!!
Another bright and sunshine filled day today, with surface winds becoming southerly in the afternoon to aid in our warming temperatures. Highs today were widely in the 50s for areas without snow cover, even well into the 40s for those on the southern portions of the snowpack. Areas further north across...
Tuesday, March 2, 2010
Quiet Weather Continues...
Mainly sunny skies and slowly warming temperatures have been the story thus far this week. And this looks to continue through the remainder of the week given current forecasts. A disturbance is expected to develop in the lee of the Rockies on Friday, leaving areas of Kansas, Nebraska, and South Dakota...
