Friday, March 19, 2010

Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Update #4

Just a quick update with the 12z model runs...  Amazing to think I'm sitting with the sliding door wide open letting the great outdoor air in at the moment, give another 12 hours and we'll be nearing 32 degrees and snow!!

The 12z NAM stays consistent with the frontal passage across Kansas and Missouri during the overnight hours, however, has changed the trowel strength and maximums once again.  With a surface low path further south compared to previous runs the best area for significant snow will be over parts of Oklahoma into extreme southeast Kansas and perhaps into portions of southwest/western Missouri. The 12z GFS is similar with a surface low track through Arkansas just a little further southeast, thus the best trowal now located a little further southeast away from the Kansas City Metro. 

Will likely get the 'live' setup going late tonight after I arrive home from work, but may not turn it on until the early morning hours so that there is truly something to view besides a dark view of the ground.  Expect to see white ground by sunrise Saturday over Kansas City, with total accumulations of ~4" along and south of I70, with 2-4" for the areas north of I70.  An additional update is likely tonight ~11PM or shortly thereafter...

Related Posts:

  • Winter Storm: Feb. 20-21The quick clipper that was expected to bring a quick snowfall to much of northeast Iowa has taken shape and appears to pack a decent punch for the early half of this weekend. Models and NWS forecasts agree on the northeast h… Read More
  • February Winter Storm(s)Just a quick update with a recap of yesterday's snowfall totals, and a look at the next winter storm that may effect our area come Tuesday into Wednesday. Below is an image of the snowfall totals across the state, with the h… Read More
  • Warmer!Temperatures today and tomorrow will once again feel like spring is on the way. Highs today should range from near 40 in the northeast to the upper 50s in the southwest; and from the lower 40s to upper 50s tomorrow. Lows to… Read More
  • Winter Storm: Feb. 13-14 Update #2A quick update this morning on what you can expect for snowfall totals through this evening. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for areas of southwest Iowa where snowfall may begin this morning and continue through the afte… Read More
  • Winter Storm: Feb. 13-14 Update #1The storm totals with the upcoming winter storm are in limbo with the latest model runs backing down on total snowfall accumulations. This afternoon's latest runs continued to back down on snowfall amounts, the NAM specifica… Read More

0 comments: