Monday, March 29, 2010

Warming Quickly!! Late-Week Potential...

As we enter the work week we can look forward to seeing bright sunny skies and knowing that temperatures will be above to well above average for this last week of March and beginning of April. A weak upper level ridge will be placed over the Plains states for much of the week, leading to clear skies and fairly strong southerly winds. High temperatures will be in the 50s and 60s from east to west over the Central Plains tomorrow with a steady increase expected through Wednesday. Tuesday's highs will range from the mid 60s to ~80 from east to west, and even a few more degrees warmer on Wednesday (from 70 to mid 80s). Highs on Thursday will likely be fairly close to those on Wednesday, but our upper level ridge will no longer be centered across the Plains. We'll be in the process of ushering in a fairly robust trough and potentially closed upper level low onto the Plains on Thursday.


This will be the main focus of the rest of the updates this week, as the potent trough given the right set of features may be one of the first widespread severe weather events of the year.  Currently the mid-range models are having problems deciding what to do with the trough late this week, differing as to either keeping it as a progressive wave across the Plains or to bring it into Texas as a cut-off low.  Additional updates this week will keep track as to the latest model trends with this system and a quick review of the warm temperatures outside.

Related Posts:

  • Severe Weather Update - April 4Just a brief update tonight on the severe weather threat for the remainder of the overnight. If you were unaware thus far, the threat in the Central Plains was limited by sufficient capping due to an elevated mixed layer and … Read More
  • Severe Weather - Apr. 4A true convergence of air masses will lead to severe weather potential stretching from extreme eastern Kansas to the northeast across northern Missouri, southeast Iowa and Illinois.  A cold front will slowly drift southe… Read More
  • Severe Weather Potential - Apr. 6A low pressure system is currently located over southeast Nebraska, and will slowly move into southern Iowa and eventually into northern Illinois during the overnight hours. A warm front is positioned to the east of the low, … Read More
  • Severe Weather Recap - April 4-6The large trough and associated low pressure system and other surface features that had been in the eyes of chasers for nearly a week before even coming onshore has come and gone over the Plains. This past Sunday (April 4) th… Read More
  • Severe Weather - Apr. 5A recap of any severe weather will likely be posted once this system has exited the Plains entirely, as a round of severe/tornadic thunderstorms occurred yesterday afternoon/evening and additional rounds of thunderstorms are … Read More

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