http://www.severeplains.com/
Once again, I am no longer updating this blog as I have a new hosted blog that I am updating. Please update your links to the following page:
http://www.severeplains.c...
Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Friday, May 21, 2010
May 20 Western Missouri Tornadoes
A recap of the Tornadoes that occurred on May 20 in Western Missouri has been posted on the new Severe Plains Blog:
http://severeplains.com/blog/?p=...
Thursday, May 20, 2010
May 20 Severe Weather?
BE SURE TO UPDATE YOUR BOOKMARKS TO THE NEW SEVERE PLAINS BLOG: http://www.severeplains.com/blogA day of light to moderate rain and embedded thunderstorms during the evening hours last night left areas of Kansas City with another 0.75-1.25" of rain on the already wet ground. Additional rainfall...
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
Severe Weather Continues...
BE SURE TO CHECK OUT THE NEW BLOG: WWW.SEVEREPLAINS.COM/BLOG
Severe weather across the Plains states continues today and is expected to continue tomorrow as well. Yesterday's event were well documented and have been all over nearly every national news station and even local news stations last night...
Monday, May 10, 2010
May 11 Severe Weather Potential
Wasn't able to get an organized post together for the severe weather threat upcoming on Monday. Needless to say given the hype from all of the news sources and meteorological sources is that this could be a fairly significant event. The potential does exist for strong and long-lived tornadoes, perhaps...
Thursday, May 6, 2010
April 6 Chase
Currently out chasing in eastern Kansas... View the Live website page for current video and GPS tracking!
http://www.severeplains.com/live.h...
Monday, May 3, 2010
April 29 Chse Recap
Took a trip back home for the weekend, thus the late response to recap last Thursday's storm chase which yielded two tornadoes that have both been confirmed by the NWS offices. A complete recap will be posted later today, with images likely being available sometime later...
For more information regarding...
Thursday, April 29, 2010
Head to New Blog For Updates!!
A Reminder:
Please head to the new blog site for the latest updates while chasing!
Severe Plains Blog
http://www.severeplains.com/b...
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
April 29, 2010 Chase Forecast
Chase #1 of 2010!
Time of Departure: ~12:30PM
Initial Target: Herington, KS
Discussion: Initial low pressure system over Nebraska will swiftly progress northeast into northern Minnesota by late evening. A trailing cold front will surge east/southeast over MN/IA/NE and into northern Kansas during...
Tuesday, April 27, 2010
April 29 Severe Weather Forecast #1
A nice and cool day today with temperatures only into the low to mid 60s over the region. A few showers were able to develop thanks to the abundant sunshine and cool temperatures aloft, however nothing widespread or too significant. We'll see the winds turn to the south during the overnight tonight,...
Monday, April 26, 2010
A Few Nice Days Ahead
A few showers remained in the area today with the upper level low still hanging around over Iowa. These showers pivoted around the low this evening and will continue to do so overnight, giving areas a few hundredths to a tenth of an inch of rain in the heavier bands. A nice scene this evening in Kansas...
Friday, April 23, 2010
Severe Weather Potential - April 23
Another day with potentially significant severe weather across both the Central Plains and into the Gulf Coast. Yesterday was quite impressive, with multiple cyclic tornadic storms over eastern Colorado and western Kansas, and several tornadic storms in the Texas Panhandle. Another severe weather...
Thursday, April 22, 2010
Severe Weather Threat: April 22
Another day of severe weather potential across the Plains, with the threat now including portions of the Central Plains (southern Kansas). A warm front currently located just north of the Kansas/Oklahoma border will continue to progress slowly northward today, leading to widespread showers/thunderstorms...
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
First of Many Chances...
Scattered showers and even a thunderstorms every once in a while have continued over parts of Central Nebraska through much of the day in response to a shortwave that is slowly progressing southeast. These showers should continue to move southeast through the overnight, reaching the Kansas and Missouri...
Monday, April 19, 2010
A Week of Potential...
A fairly cool and calm weekend under northwest flow aloft, with highs in the 60s and overnight lows into the lower 40s. This 'chilly' weather is coming to an end already with a return of southerly winds at the surface by tomorrow. Temperatures rose into the upper 60s and a few 70s across much of the...
Friday, April 16, 2010
Rain & Return of Seasonable Weather
A cold front has pushed through a majority of the Central Plains over the past 24 hours, leaving us with more of a normal air mass for early April. Rainfall during the overnight was fairly heavy across parts of northeast Kansas and northwest Missouri, but decreased dramatically as it entered the Kansas...
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
A Round of Rain...
Several days of warm and sunny weather has most people spoiled into thinking summer is almost here already! But, don't think winter has gone too far as there is plenty of winter weather still ongoing in some areas of the Rockies, including Montana and Wyoming where up to a foot of snow was falling...
Friday, April 9, 2010
Warming Weekend...
Temperatures today got a few degrees above forecast thanks to absolutely clear skies and a bit more mixing than expected. Similar trends should continue through the weekend and into much of early next week with highs ranging in the mid to upper 70s for the Kansas City area. A weak front...
Wednesday, April 7, 2010
Severe Weather Recap - April 4-6
The large trough and associated low pressure system and other surface features that had been in the eyes of chasers for nearly a week before even coming onshore has come and gone over the Plains. This past Sunday (April 4) through Tuesday (April 6) all had the potential to be some of the best days of...
Tuesday, April 6, 2010
Severe Weather Potential - Apr. 6
A low pressure system is currently located over southeast Nebraska, and will slowly move into southern Iowa and eventually into northern Illinois during the overnight hours. A warm front is positioned to the east of the low, draped across southern Iowa, northern Illinois and further to the east. A cold...
Monday, April 5, 2010
Severe Weather Update - April 4
Just a brief update tonight on the severe weather threat for the remainder of the overnight. If you were unaware thus far, the threat in the Central Plains was limited by sufficient capping due to an elevated mixed layer and by the lack of upper level forcing to aid in storm development. As we neared...
Severe Weather - Apr. 5
A recap of any severe weather will likely be posted once this system has exited the Plains entirely, as a round of severe/tornadic thunderstorms occurred yesterday afternoon/evening and additional rounds of thunderstorms are occurring this morning with more expected this afternoon.
Currently, elevated...
Sunday, April 4, 2010
Severe Weather - Apr. 4
A true convergence of air masses will lead to severe weather potential stretching from extreme eastern Kansas to the northeast across northern Missouri, southeast Iowa and Illinois. A cold front will slowly drift southeastward during the day today, at the same time a strong southerly flow will...
Saturday, April 3, 2010
Severe Weather Potential - Apr. 4/5/6
The first post in regards to severe weather potential for Sunday through Tuesday next week will encompass the entire event, subsequent posts will likely be broken into daily forecasts. Unfortunately this will be another virtual chase target event as later today I begin my 7 day stretch of work.
April...
Friday, April 2, 2010
April 2 Severe Weather
Just a quick post about the impressive line of thunderstorms that evolved through the overnight last night arriving in the Kansas City metro this morning. As it was approaching the metro the storms organized into several line segments capable of producing damaging winds, and it did so throughout...
Thursday, April 1, 2010
Severe Weather Potential - Apr. 1/2
Just a quick update for the potential of severe weather both today and tomorrow for the Plains states. Today's threat is quite marginal given a stout temperature inversion in the lower levels ~800hPa, but given moderate surface based instability and marginal shear values any storms that could...
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
Warm Temperatures... Thunderstorms by Friday!
There has been much discussion in the chase community about the upcoming trough and its' associated features and its' severe weather potential. This discussion has been ongoing since the trough was a gleam in the GFS way back at 300+ hours. This would appear to be the first trough in perhaps many that...
Monday, March 29, 2010
Warming Quickly!! Late-Week Potential...
As we enter the work week we can look forward to seeing bright sunny skies and knowing that temperatures will be above to well above average for this last week of March and beginning of April. A weak upper level ridge will be placed over the Plains states for much of the week, leading to clear skies...
Saturday, March 27, 2010
Severe Weather Threat - Mar. 27
An upper level low will become closed for a short period of time today, and in conjunction with a surface low will create the potential for thunderstorms and a few severe thunderstorms this afternoon/evening over the Central Plains. The area of interest for severe weather will be over extreme...
Tuesday, March 23, 2010
A Rainy Period...
Another storm system is impacting the Rockies already this evening, likely to bring snowfall amounts greater than a foot in many areas along the foothills in Colorado. A low pressure system will also be created that will quickly move out onto the Plains states and establish itself by tomorrow morning....
Sunday, March 21, 2010
March 20 Winter Storm Video
I finished a quick edit of my video I captured yesterday both in the early morning and during the late morning/early afternoon hours around the Kansas City area. You can find it available on YouTube and YouTube HD at the following url: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sUtv6DlGJns
Or it is...
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Recap
A long duration and dynamic winter storm struck portions of the Central and Southern Plains this past weekend, bringing with it nearly a foot of snow for parts of Kansas and Missouri. While snowfall did fall at a moderate to heavy intensity at times, the main culprit for the significant snowfall amounts...
Saturday, March 20, 2010
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Update #8
Moderate snow ongoing over the Kansas City metro with strong north-northwest winds of 15-25 mph with some higher gusts as well. This snow should continue for the next few hours before tapering to light snow for the remainder of the afternoon and evening. Areas just southeast of the metro areas may continue...
Live Winter Storm Video Continues
Currently located on the southern edge of Johnson county Kansas, just south of the Kansas City metro area with a view of I35 on the live camera. Expect a band of moderate to heavy snow to move into the area shortly and expect visibilities to fall to a half-mile or less at times... Check...
Live Winter Storm Video
Watching the next swath of snowfall making its' way northeast and will be entering the Kansas City area withing the next hour or so... Am preparing everything and will be running the live stream as I head southward out of the Kansas City area and down toward the Johnson/Miami county lines. ...
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Update #7
A nice lull in the snowfall this morning as the frontal precipitation has moved off to the east, and the first indications of a deformation/trowal band are taking shape across north-central Oklahoma into southeast Kansas and moving northeast. This will be the next round of snow that will likely...
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Update #6
Snow continues through the overnight hours and will likely continue for the Kansas City Metro before some subsiding occurs near 4-6am. Snowfall accumulations of 1-2" are common across the metro region, with some higher amounts just north in areas of Leavenworth county and near St. Joseph, MO. ...
Friday, March 19, 2010
Winter Storm: Streaming Live!
With a band of moderate to heavy snow likely entering southwest portions of Kansas City I am going to do a little test run and grab some video of the heavy snow and blowing snow around the Shawnee, KS area. I'll likely be live around 12:10AM, select the link below to view the stream:
http://...
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Update #5
Snow has quickly overspread the Kansas City metro tonight, with a short period of both light rain and sleet occurring this evening areas at least on the Kansas side have switched to moderate snow around 11pm. Snowfall is already beginning to accumulate on roadways, and strong northwest winds is...
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Update #4
Just a quick update with the 12z model runs... Amazing to think I'm sitting with the sliding door wide open letting the great outdoor air in at the moment, give another 12 hours and we'll be nearing 32 degrees and snow!!
The 12z NAM stays consistent with the frontal passage across Kansas and...
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Update #3
The off-hour model runs (06z) last night kept some consistency, although they both once again depicted some areas seeing over 18" of snowfall in eastern Oklahoma. No drastic changes nonetheless, and we have Winter Storm Watches now posted for large areas of northern Oklahoma, southern Kansas,...
Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20 Update #2
Just a quick update to post two model images from tonight, both the NAM and GFS 00z snowfall forecasts courtesy of Earl Barker's Model Page. The snow algorithm used here is a max-temp in profile,...
Thursday, March 18, 2010
The Madness Continues... Winter Storm: Mar. 19/20
In the NCAA Tournament there is still plenty of good games with a Tennessee vs San Diego State game going down to the wire, and a Texas vs Wake Forest game going into overtime. This has been one of the best first days of the tournament that I can remember...
In other madness, there is very high...
March (Model) Madness
The NCAA tournament got underway with some great games in the first round, including a few upsets and a few other games that went down to the wire. I have a few brackets that are still looking pretty good through the afternoon/evening games. But, the true madness is that of the forecast models and their...
Weekend Snow Storm?!?
Models had continued their questionable outputs in regards to snowfall and transition of rain to snow over the Central Plains on Friday night and Saturday, but are once again coming into a trend towards a solution. This mornings' GFS and NAM both had a fairly similar solution in regards to snow amounts...
Tuesday, March 16, 2010
Where's the Sun?!?
We've been going the past several days with mornings' filled with low level clouds and high moisture values leading to sprinkles and mist. Today is no exception, and it looks to continue tomorrow morning as well. Yesterday during the late afternoon hours we were able to see the sunshine in Kansas...
Wednesday, March 10, 2010
Thunderstorms to Snow?!?
Numerous clusters of thunderstorms continue across portions of the Central and Southern Plains tonight, with a continued risk of a few severe/tornadic storms through the early overnight. The tornadic threat today across much of the risk area in Kansas, Oklahoma and Missouri was hindered by shallow moisture...
Severe Weather - Mar. 10
Models continue to indicate the potential for severe weather across portions of the Central and Southern Plains for this afternoon, evening, and overnight. A low pressure system currently ejecting onto the Plains will continue to trek east-northeast across Oklahoma and into the southeast corner...
Tuesday, March 9, 2010
Severe Thunderstorm Potential - Mar. 9
A quick morning update on the potential for severe weather today as the surface low currently located over south-central Kansas will move northeastward and create the potential for severe weather this afternoon for areas of eastern Kansas and western Missouri. The low pressure system has become...
