Friday, June 19, 2009

Severe Weather Threat - June 19

While yesterday turned out to be another cap bust in Iowa that makes all those out-of-state chasers absolutely hate chasing in Iowa, today will definitely not be the same. Must cooler temperatures just above the surface in the lower levels will provide much less of a capping inversion, and with a must stronger wave in the mid-levels combined with significantly more convergence at the lower levels as well with a cold front moving southeastward. All of this will provide the southeast half of the state to see numerous thunderstorms, many of which may be severe with damaging winds and large hail.

Be sure to pay attention to the latest weather information via TV/Radio as thunderstorms near your area. While the risk of tornadoes is forecasted, it would appear that surface winds quickly turning southwesterly will decrease the low level shear dramatically, thus inhibiting the strong low level shear that was expected to aid in tornadic development.

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