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Severe Plains Blog
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Thursday, April 29, 2010
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
April 29, 2010 Chase Forecast
Chase #1 of 2010!
Time of Departure: ~12:30PM
Initial Target: Herington, KS
Discussion: Initial low pressure system over Nebraska will swiftly progress northeast into northern Minnesota by late evening. A trailing cold front will surge east/southeast over MN/IA/NE and into northern Kansas during...
Tuesday, April 27, 2010
April 29 Severe Weather Forecast #1
A nice and cool day today with temperatures only into the low to mid 60s over the region. A few showers were able to develop thanks to the abundant sunshine and cool temperatures aloft, however nothing widespread or too significant. We'll see the winds turn to the south during the overnight tonight,...
Monday, April 26, 2010
A Few Nice Days Ahead
A few showers remained in the area today with the upper level low still hanging around over Iowa. These showers pivoted around the low this evening and will continue to do so overnight, giving areas a few hundredths to a tenth of an inch of rain in the heavier bands. A nice scene this evening in Kansas...
Friday, April 23, 2010
Severe Weather Potential - April 23
Another day with potentially significant severe weather across both the Central Plains and into the Gulf Coast. Yesterday was quite impressive, with multiple cyclic tornadic storms over eastern Colorado and western Kansas, and several tornadic storms in the Texas Panhandle. Another severe weather...
Thursday, April 22, 2010
Severe Weather Threat: April 22
Another day of severe weather potential across the Plains, with the threat now including portions of the Central Plains (southern Kansas). A warm front currently located just north of the Kansas/Oklahoma border will continue to progress slowly northward today, leading to widespread showers/thunderstorms...
Tuesday, April 20, 2010
First of Many Chances...
Scattered showers and even a thunderstorms every once in a while have continued over parts of Central Nebraska through much of the day in response to a shortwave that is slowly progressing southeast. These showers should continue to move southeast through the overnight, reaching the Kansas and Missouri...
Monday, April 19, 2010
A Week of Potential...
A fairly cool and calm weekend under northwest flow aloft, with highs in the 60s and overnight lows into the lower 40s. This 'chilly' weather is coming to an end already with a return of southerly winds at the surface by tomorrow. Temperatures rose into the upper 60s and a few 70s across much of the...
Friday, April 16, 2010
Rain & Return of Seasonable Weather
A cold front has pushed through a majority of the Central Plains over the past 24 hours, leaving us with more of a normal air mass for early April. Rainfall during the overnight was fairly heavy across parts of northeast Kansas and northwest Missouri, but decreased dramatically as it entered the Kansas...
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
A Round of Rain...
Several days of warm and sunny weather has most people spoiled into thinking summer is almost here already! But, don't think winter has gone too far as there is plenty of winter weather still ongoing in some areas of the Rockies, including Montana and Wyoming where up to a foot of snow was falling...
Friday, April 9, 2010
Warming Weekend...
Temperatures today got a few degrees above forecast thanks to absolutely clear skies and a bit more mixing than expected. Similar trends should continue through the weekend and into much of early next week with highs ranging in the mid to upper 70s for the Kansas City area. A weak front...
Wednesday, April 7, 2010
Severe Weather Recap - April 4-6
The large trough and associated low pressure system and other surface features that had been in the eyes of chasers for nearly a week before even coming onshore has come and gone over the Plains. This past Sunday (April 4) through Tuesday (April 6) all had the potential to be some of the best days of...
Tuesday, April 6, 2010
Severe Weather Potential - Apr. 6
A low pressure system is currently located over southeast Nebraska, and will slowly move into southern Iowa and eventually into northern Illinois during the overnight hours. A warm front is positioned to the east of the low, draped across southern Iowa, northern Illinois and further to the east. A cold...
Monday, April 5, 2010
Severe Weather Update - April 4
Just a brief update tonight on the severe weather threat for the remainder of the overnight. If you were unaware thus far, the threat in the Central Plains was limited by sufficient capping due to an elevated mixed layer and by the lack of upper level forcing to aid in storm development. As we neared...
Severe Weather - Apr. 5
A recap of any severe weather will likely be posted once this system has exited the Plains entirely, as a round of severe/tornadic thunderstorms occurred yesterday afternoon/evening and additional rounds of thunderstorms are occurring this morning with more expected this afternoon.
Currently, elevated...
Sunday, April 4, 2010
Severe Weather - Apr. 4
A true convergence of air masses will lead to severe weather potential stretching from extreme eastern Kansas to the northeast across northern Missouri, southeast Iowa and Illinois. A cold front will slowly drift southeastward during the day today, at the same time a strong southerly flow will...
Saturday, April 3, 2010
Severe Weather Potential - Apr. 4/5/6
The first post in regards to severe weather potential for Sunday through Tuesday next week will encompass the entire event, subsequent posts will likely be broken into daily forecasts. Unfortunately this will be another virtual chase target event as later today I begin my 7 day stretch of work.
April...
Friday, April 2, 2010
April 2 Severe Weather
Just a quick post about the impressive line of thunderstorms that evolved through the overnight last night arriving in the Kansas City metro this morning. As it was approaching the metro the storms organized into several line segments capable of producing damaging winds, and it did so throughout...
Thursday, April 1, 2010
Severe Weather Potential - Apr. 1/2
Just a quick update for the potential of severe weather both today and tomorrow for the Plains states. Today's threat is quite marginal given a stout temperature inversion in the lower levels ~800hPa, but given moderate surface based instability and marginal shear values any storms that could...