Thursday, November 15, 2007

Fall Break Begins

Most colleges are going to begin their fall break over the next week for the Thanksgiving holiday, some are getting the latter part of the week off while others are getting the whole week. Iowa State gets the whole week off next week, before returning for one more week of classes, followed by 'dead week' and then finals. So the semester is winding down, which is a good sign that we should be seeing some of the warm air disappearing. This weekend shouldn't be too bad, but looking ahead into the holiday it looks like the cold air will make its' way into the state. Maybe some wintery precip to come with it?!

Before we get to that cold air, we'll deal with some fairly average temperatures. Lows tonight in the mid 20s to lower 30s, highs tomorrow will actually rise above normal for a majority of the state; upper 40s in the northeast to near 60 in the west. Low to mid 30s for Friday night followed by some cooler highs on Saturday, mid 40s to lower 50s from north to south. Lows remain close to the same on Saturday night, mid 20s to lower 30s; Highs on Sunday in the mid 40s to mid 50s from northeast to southwest. A weak wave may move in during the day on Sunday, giving a small chance at some clouds and sprinkles over the state; mainly north. Those clouds stick around to leave temperatures a bit warmer Sunday night, lows in the mid 30s to near 40 across Iowa.

By next week the situation gets a bit more interesting, with weather models beginning to diverge on solutions. A low pressure system may begin to develop to the southwest of the state, leading a warm front to form just to the south of the state. This will put the state in a favorable position for precip beginning on Monday night and potentially lasting through Thanksgiving! The forecast is very tricky, as the warm front will lead to warm air overrunning the state and providing some fairly steady rains. However, depending on the low pressure track and to whether it goes south of the state or even forms at all will decide how long the rain continues. Not to mention, if the low can to the south and/or east of the state we may see the finale of the storm put down some snow amounts. Weather is quite a touchy subject to forecast this far out, so no promises are being made as to how this will turn out. Just keep checking back early next week for more information on the possibilities of snowfall.

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