Thursday, September 21, 2006

Rain Today, Chase Tomorrow?

Well today as promised has been quite wet for most of the western and central portions of the state. Rain has been off and on throughout the day in Ames, most of the time being only light. But, over other portions of the state the rain has fell consistantly and heavy at times. Highest amounts so far today seem to come out of northwest Iowa actually, with 1.55″ in Orange City, IA. Other near 1″ totals in Le Mars, Cherokee, Denison, etc… Much of that rain seems to be falling now by looks of the radar, other bands of rain are making their way across central Iowa. This can be expected to continue this evening and into tonight across the state.

Forecasts have the rain moving out of southwest portions of the state by sunrise and moving out of much of Iowa by Noon. This is expected as a dry slot may move into the area allowing for plentiful sunshine and warm tempertures into the 70s. With this along with such a strong low that is forecasted to move over the area, severe weather does seem plausible. Currently, the SPC has issued a MODERATE risk for areas of southeast Iowa, while nearly the rest of the state remains in a slight risk. This will likely change in the new day 1 outlooks issued early tomorrow and throughout the day, but nonetheless it is going to have to be monitored closely for the chase potential that it has. I’ll likely issue a new update early tomorrow sometime on the possibilities of severe weather.

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