The latest SPC outlook for severe thunderstorms has greatly limited the potential for severe weather across the state this evening and overnight. This is likely due to the lack of convergence along the quasi-stationary front that is now over northern Missouri. With this front located that far south, and the lack of convergence along and especially north of the front it looks as if the likelihood of strong/severe storms anywhere in Iowa is going to be limited to extreme southern Iowa if any areas at all. A few scattered thunderstorms are still possible across portions of Iowa this evening/tonight, however, these should not be severe in nature.
Areas that may see severe weather this afternoon would be areas of the eastern Dakotas and extreme western Minnesota; as well as northern Missouri into Illinois along the stationary boundary. Marginally severe hail, and damaging wind gusts will be the main threats with the evening/overnight storms.
With today's severe weather threat becoming minimal if not obsolete, we'll look towards Sunday as the first day that Iowa can see severe weather since oh so long ago...
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